Friday, December 22, 2017

Top Ten Bowl Games to Watch: 2017

The Best Games to Watch This Bowl Season


1.  College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Sugar Bowl: #1 Clemson Tigers vs. #4 Alabama Crimson Tide: New Year's Day at 8:30 p.m. on ESPN  



For the 3rd year in a row, Clemson will face Alabama in the playoffs, this time in a Semifinal Game.  The coaching staffs and a majority of players on both sides are familiar foes, but a few newcomers will have their own part to play on how this battle out.

Although he was on the team last year, Clemson quarterback Kelly Bryant has yet take a snap against Alabama.  Fortunately, he has plenty of great teammates that can make his first game against the Tide a successful one.  Travis Etienne, Tavien Feaster, and Adam Choice are an excellent trio of running backs which Bryant can have confidence handing the ball to.  More importantly, Clemson possesses a strong cadre of receivers led by the hero of last year's championship win Hunter Renfrow and the reliable Deon Cain.  I don't have the space to list all the other fine receivers that make this receiving corps the best in the nation. 

However, the best thing going for the Tigers could be their defensive line headlined by projected 1st round draft pick Christian Wilkins and his teammate at defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence.  They have the potential to get as much pressure on Alabama quarterback Jalen Hurts as the Auburn defensive line got on him in their dominating victory. 

Of course, Alabama usually comes up with great performances in postseason games so Hurts, running back Bo Scarbrough, and the Alabama offensive line could very well turn this game into a shootout. 


In the end, I think Clemson will win by 7.

2. College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Rose Bowl: #2 Oklahoma Sooners vs. #3 Georgia Bulldogs: New Year's Day at 5 p.m. on ESPN  



Oklahoma has the decided advantage in this game at the quarterback position, as the Sooners have the newest Heisman Trophy winner Baker Mayfield throwing passes.  Mayfield completed over 71 percent of his passes, throwing for 4,340 yards, 41 touchdowns and only 5 interceptions.  He is the engine that makes the entire team run, and when Mayfield is firing on all cylinders, the Sooners can beat anyone in the country.  Mayfield has created enough offense to dominate Ohio State, defeat rival Oklahoma State, and whip TCU, twice!  Rodney Anderson is a great workhorse at the running back position and Mayfield has plenty of excellent receivers to dish the ball out to.  The big question revolves around the Oklahoma defense.  Can the Sooners come up with a defensive stop at the critical moments of the game?

Oklahoma's defensive coordinator will certainly be have his hands full dealing with the duo of talented Georgia running backs, Sony Michel and Nick Chubb.  While their offensive line has not always given them enough room to run, like when they got walloped by Auburn in the regular season, Chubb and Michel can certainly make defenses pay dearly when given space, which they did when they took revenge on Auburn in the SEC Championship Game.  The Bulldogs also have a solid quarterback in Jake Fromm, but he is a freshman and doesn't have the experience or raw talent that Mayfield has.  Georgia's defense is brimming with great players but I don't think they are great enough to contain the nation's best player Baker Mayfield.      



My pick: Oklahoma by 3.


3.  Cotton Bowl: #5 Ohio State Buckeyes vs. #9 USC Trojans: 12/29 at 8:30 p.m. on ESPN



The single thing on every analyst's mind regarding this game is how very motivated Ohio State will be coming into this game.  Whether correct or not, the entire team feels slighted by being left out of the playoffs.  Senior quarterback J.T. Barrett has been the most outspoken member of the team concerning this, and, as the unequivocal leader of the Buckeyes, his teammates will feed off his angst and channel it into putting up a strong showing against USC.

I need to pause to say that despite being an avid Buckeyes fans, I understand why they were kept just out of the playoffs.  Ohio State was dominated in an early season loss to Oklahoma, but more glaring was a late season loss to Iowa.  One week after notching a huge comeback victory over Penn State, the Buckeyes traveled to Iowa and got their butts handed to them by the Hawkeyes.  Barrett tossed 4 interceptions while the Ohio State defense gave up 55 points!  In the end, a conference title was not enough to make the Playoff Selection Committee overlook of the ugliest losses by a top 25 team this season.

However, I think the Buckeyes will be more than ready to put this behind them and come out ready to play.  Barrett, running back J.K. Dobbins, and a solid offensive line will make a big impact in the game.  On the other side of the ball, linebacker Malik Harrison and safety Damon Webb are lynchpins of a defense that is capable of going toe-to-toe with a great quarterback.

That great quarterback would be USC's Sam Darnold.  Despite having major turnover problems early in the year that sent his Heisman campaign into a ditch, Darnold responded by leading his team to a PAC 12 Championship down the stretch.  I think he will finish the year with a strong performance that won't quite be enough to defeat a ticked off Ohio State team.


My pick: Ohio State by 10.

4.  Fiesta Bowl:  #9 Penn State Nittany Lions vs. #11 Washington Huskies: 12/30 at 4 p.m. on ESPN 



This battle out in Arizona pits teams that finished in 3rd place of their respective conferences.  Both Washington and Penn State were prime contenders to win their conference and snag a playoff spot.  However, a pair of losses by each team sent their potential paths to the playoffs into a field of cactus. 
For Washington, their first defeat was a rather embarrassing one, losing to poorly regarded Arizona State 13-7.  The Huskies were definitely on the outside looking in after that and Stanford stuck a fork in their chances when they defeated them 30-22. Still, Washington is formidable as quarterback Jake Browning and running back Myles Gaskin provide plenty of fuel for the Huskies' offense.  Additionally, the Washington defense can seem like a pack of hungry dogs when they are fully focused.  

Penn State's 2 losses came at the hands of 2 very good top 25 teams in consecutive weeks.  Prior to this, the Nittany Lions were ranked #2 in the nation and their star running back Saquon Barkley was at the top of the Heisman watch list.  But after Ohio State's successful 4th quarter comeback against the Nittany Lions and a upset loss to Michigan State, Penn State's time in the limelight ended with a resounding crash.  Nevertheless, quarterback Trace McSorley and Saquon Barkley are plenty capable to right the ship and end the season with a close victory that will make December 30th a fiesta for Nittany Lions fans. 



My pick: Penn State by 6.

5. Peach Bowl: #7 Auburn Tigers vs. #12 UCF Knights: New Year's Day at 12:30 p.m. on ESPN



As I have said in previous years, I have a great respect for teams from the non-Power 5 Conferences who exceed expectations.  This year's team are the American Conference Champion UCF Knights.  They are the only undefeated team in the nation which is truly incredible considering the Knights are just 2 years removed from a embarrassing winless season.  The resurgence of UCF football has much to do with their prowess on offense.  They lead in the nation in points per game thanks to Hawaii born quarterback McKenzie Milton and the two men often lined up behind him, running backs Adrian Killins and Otis Anderson.  Milton has thrown for almost 3,800 yards and 35 touchdowns, and also runs the option extremely well.  The only weakness is their defense, which was solid most of the year but gave up chunks of yards at the end of the year.

And the leads me right into the key for Auburn in this game: the health of Kerryon Johnson.  Johnson is a very effective runner when healthy and I don't think UCF's defense could stop him from singlehandedly taking control of the game.  However, Johnson has been really banged up lately and could still be hampered by a shoulder injury he suffered against Alabama.  Auburn quarterback Jarrett Stidham is good but only seems to be great when the run game is working.  Plus, their enthusiasm in the Peach Bowl could be considerably lower than UCF's as the Tigers missed out on the playoffs after losing the SEC Championship Game to Georgia.


My upset pick:  UCF by 3. 

6. Orange Bowl: #6 Wisconsin Badgers vs. #10 Miami Hurricanes: 12/30 at 8 p.m. on ESPN



I chose this as the least interesting New Year's Six Bowl because of the recent disappointments each team has gone through after losing in their respective conference championship game.  Miami got absolutely steamrolled by Clemson in the ACC Championship Game, losing 38-3 thanks to their offense which struggled mightily.  Wisconsin's potential undefeated season and spot in the playoffs was ruined when their comeback effort against Ohio State in the Big Ten title game fell short and they were defeated 27-21.

Just from their respective scores you can tell that Wisconsin preformed far better on offense.  The Badgers' offensive line is capable of clearing space for freshman tailback Jonathan Taylor to run.  Additionally, Wisconsin quarterback Alex Hornibrook has been more consistent of late than Miami quarterback Malik Rozier.  I think Miami's problems on offense will continue and Wisconsin will win comfortably.


My pick: Wisconsin by 17

7. Camping World Bowl: #19 Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. #22 Virginia Tech Hokies:  12/28 at 5:15 p.m. on ESPN



Played in Orlando's Citrus Bowl Stadium, this bowl game features one of my favorite quarterbacks.  Oklahoma State's Mason Rudolph is a committed Christian and has led his team with integrity, proving over the two years he has been the starter that he is a consistent and accurate passer.  Helping Rudolph at every turn is top notch wide receiver James Washington.  Just this year Washington accumulated an astounding 1,423 yards receiving and 12 touchdowns.  Adding to the Cowboys' offensive firepower is speedy running back Justice Hill.  Unfortunately, Oklahoma State's defense is weak which is why they lost 3 key games to TCU, Kansas State and rival Oklahoma.  

Lining up against them are the Hokies of Virginia Tech who possess a talented defense that has given up only 13.5 points per game.  On offense, they have freshman quarterback Justin Jackson who some believe will take a big step forward in 2018 and have the opportunity to lead his team in a spot in next year's playoffs.  However, I'm focusing on this year's bowl season.  Mason Rudolph and Oklahoma State's offense is simply too much for Virginia Tech to handle.


My pick: Oklahoma State by 14

8. Holiday Bowl: #16 Michigan State Spartans vs. #18 Washington State Cougars: 12/28 at 9 p.m. on Fox Sports 1



This is a battle of teams that struggled with inconsistency for much of the year.  Michigan State's season has been a rollercoaster.  On the 4th weekend of the season, the Spartans lost by 20 in a important early season contest against Notre Dame.  Two weeks later, they defeated rival Michigan in a hard fought 14-10 victory.  Then, in late October, they suffered an upset loss to Northwestern, which was honestly the defeat that hurt them the most.  They followed that up by upsetting Penn State but the damage was already done.

Washington State's season was even harder to predict.  Their season started better than expected when they upset juggernaut USC, a game which I covered.  They also downed another  PAC 12 Conference frontrunner in Stanford, but inexplicable losses to Arizona and Cal stole their thunder.  Finishing the year with another terrible performance in their yearly rivalry game with Washington left a bad taste in the mouths of Cougar fans.

It seems to me that Washington State's season ended on a worse note than Michigan State's which gives the Spartans an advantage.  Plus, the solid run game that the Spartans have is more reliable than the Cougars' air raid offense.  The choice is clear.


My pick: Michigan State by 13.

9. Dollar General Bowl: Toledo Rockets vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: 12/23 at 7 p.m on ESPN 




This is actually a rematch of a bowl game I previewed for readers last year.  In the thrilling contest between these two last year, Camellia Bowl 2016, Appalachian State won by a matter of feet.  Late in a close game, the Mountaineer kicked a field goal with a few minutes remaining.  Toledo responded by moving down the field to set up a field goal attempt of their own with mere seconds to play.  The ball rocketed off of the foot of Toledo's kicker but just missed sneaking inside the upright.  The cheers of the Mountaineer players and fans filled the air as the ball hit the ground.

The quarterbacks on each side are the same as last year.  The Rockets have 3,000 yard passer Logan Woodside and the Mountaineers have 2,000+ yard passer Taylor Lamb.  However, Toledo has the advantage running the ball as their running back Terry Swanson has gained 400 more yards than Appalachian State's Jalin Moore.  Also, Toledo longing to avenge last year's defeat will be a powerful motivator.



My Pick: Toledo by 6.

10.  Alamo Bowl: #13 Stanford Cardinal vs. #15 TCU Horned Frogs: 12/28 at 9 p.m on ESPN 



Both teams are looking to tack a quality bowl win onto the end of a season that fell short of true success. Stanford lost twice to rival USC, once in the regular season and once in the PAC 12 Championship Game.  Couple that with an unexpected loss to Washington State and Stanford's season certainly fell short of expectations. 

For TCU, things were nearly identical.  They lost twice to Oklahoma in the regular season and Big 12 Championship Game and were also upset by Iowa State.

The Cardinal have a decided advantage at running back with Heisman finalist Bryce Love who tallied almost 2,000 yards this year.  TCU's top running back doesn't even have 1,000.  Although the Horned Frogs have the better quarterback in Kenny Hill, Bryce Love will be too much for them to handle.


My pick: Stanford by 10 (sorry, Zack).


Monday, December 4, 2017

Championship Week 2017

Results of Last Week's Championship Games to Watch


1.  ACC Championship: #1 Clemson Tigers vs. #7 Miami Hurricanes 


This was Clemson’s 3rd straight appearance in this championship game and their experience showed.  Quarterback Kelly Bryant and the Tigers clawed their way down the field on their first possession, covering 68 yards in 10 plays.  Freshman running back Travis Etienne used his senior-level toughness to muscle his way into the endzone on the final play of the drive.  

Miami's offense, still trying to shake off the cobwebs from a terrible game against Pittsburgh, was forced to punt on their ensuing drive.  However, Clemson punt returner Ray-Ray McCloud fumbled while trying to receive the punt and Miami recovered.  The Hurricanes managed to get a single first down, but could not get into the endzone.  Forced to kick a field goal, Miami attempted a 46 yard field goal, but kicker Michigan Badgely missed it and the Hurricanes came up empty.

Things would get far worse for Miami as 7 plays later Clemson doubled their lead on a 11 yard TD run by Bryant.  The valiant Tigers added another touchdown early in the 2nd quarter after the Hurricanes' offense sputtered like an engine on a jalopey.   At the half, Clemson led 21-0 and would put up 17 more unanswered points in the 3rd quarter.

Clemson put in their backup quarterback early in the 4th quarter, proving Head Coach Dabo Swinney and his coaching staff knew they had totally outclassed the opposition.  Better luck next year, Miami!


Final Score: Clemson 38, Miami 3

2.  #4 Wisconsin Badgers vs. #8 Ohio State Buckeyes 



The major storyline coming into this championship game was the health of Ohio State quarterback J.T. Barrett.  He suffered a knee injury in last week's game against Michigan and the injury was severe enough to warrant a minor knee surgery.  His status was listed as questionable.  But, though a combination of the miracle of modern medicine and sheer willpower, Barrett would start at quarterback.

Even more unexpectedly, Barrett would proceed to light up the scoreboard in the first half.  He threw 2 long touchdown passes in the 1st quarter alone, lengthened by excellent yardage after the catch by wide receivers Terry McLaurin and Parris Campbell. 


However, Barrett was not mistake-free, as, in between the TD passes, he threw an interception that was returned for a touchdown.

Ohio State added more points to the scoreboard in the 2nd quarter thanks to the Ohio State offensive line clearing a path for J.K. Dobbins to break off a 77 yard run.


Dobbins was tackled 1 yard short of the goal line and Barrett ran into the endzone on the next play.

Wisconsin's only offensive points came on a field goal late in the 2nd quarter, due to the fact that Ohio State's defense had completely bottled up Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor.

The Badgers made a game of it in the 2nd half, mainly because of the improved play of quarterback Alex Hornibrook.  Hornibrook led Wisconsin on a 11 play touchdown drive and threw a good pass on the 2 point conversion attempt to get his team within 3.  However, the Buckeyes' defense held firm on 2 pivotal drives in the late stages of the 4th quarter, securing an Ohio State victory.

The Ohio State are back as champions of the Big Ten!

Final Score: Ohio State 27, Wisconsin 21

Most Exciting Championship Game of the Week 


American Athletic Championship: #14 UCF Knights vs. #20 Memphis Tigers 


With a trip to the Peach Bowl on the line, both teams, or the offenses at any rate, played at an extremely high level.  Through almost 3 full quarters, 72 total points had been scored and over 1,100 yards of total offense had been recorded.  UCF had a 38-34 lead and possession of the ball starting at their own 15 yard line.  Much as they had multiple times before, the Knights began charging down the field again.  The first play was a 23 yard dash around the right side of the defense by running back Adrian Killins Jr.  UCF quarterback McKenzie Milton followed that up with a 32 yard completion to seldom used receiver Michael Colubiale.


Two plays later, Milton launched a perfect pass to receiver Dredrick Snelson who caught it despite being locked in tight coverage.  With how well Milton was throwing the ball, I was not surprised at all that the pass was completed.

Memphis missed a field goal on their next drive and UCF took advantage by going 57 yards in 10 plays before making a field goal.  Now trailing by 14, the situation was looking desperate for the Tigers.  However, the Memphis offense channeled that negative energy by working to spring running back Tony Pollard on a 66 yard TD run.

UCF's red-hot offense cooled down on their next drive, punting after 7 plays.  Memphis quarterback Riley Ferguson took the opportunity given to him and started to shred the UCF defense again.  Second string running back Patrick Taylor Jr. supplemented Ferguson's passes with 18 yards on 3 carries and the Tigers sauntered their way to the Knights' 10 yard line.  Top receiver Anthony Miller ran an excellent fade route on the next play and Ferguson found him for a game-tying touchdown.

The Knights went three-and-out on their ensuing drive, giving Memphis a golden opportunity to go down the field on a game-winning drive.  However, thanks to a crucial holding call against the Tigers, Memphis was forced to kick a long field gielf that freshman kicker Riley Patterson  was not able to make.  Only 28 seconds of regulation remained and the game soon went to overtime.

Memphis got the ball first and overcame 15 yards of penalties to score 7 points on another touchdown from Ferguson to Miller.  UCF responded with a 4 play drive that hit paydirt when Milton ran the option and pitched the ball to Adrien Killins who snuck inside the pylon for a touchdown.

Order of possession flipped in the 2nd overtime and the Knights had the next crack at reaching the endzone.   A ten yard completion by Milton plus a roughing the passer penalty on Memphis put the ball at the ten yard line.  Two plays later, running back Otis Anderson used a 2nd effort push to plunge it for a 1 yard TD.

The pressure was now on Memphis to keep the game going.  At first, they were up to the challenge, converting a 4th down to keep their hopes alive.  However, two plays later, defensive end Shaquem Griffin, got pressure on the quarterback, forcing Ferguson to throw before he wanted to.  The pass was well short of Ferguson's intended target and was intercepted by UCF defensive back Tre Neal, ending the game.


UCF players and coaches ran across the field in wide arcs, the stadium shaking from the cheers of a packed house of fans.  The Knights were champions, completing their epic turnaround from winless in 2015 to undefeated Champions of the American Conference just two years later.  They are truly worthy of a trip to Atlanta for the Peach Bowl.


Final Score: UCF 62, Memphis 55

  

Final College Football Playoff Committee Rankings


1. Clemson Tigers


2. Oklahoma Sooners

 
3. Georgia Bulldogs

 
4. Alabama Crimson Tide


The Committee has made their picks and I fully support their decision.  Clemson will face Alabama in the playoffs the 3rd year in a row, this time in a Semifinal Game at the Sugar Bowl.  Oklahoma will take on Georgia in the Rose Bowl.  The winners will go head to head in the National Championship Game played at the Atlanta Falcons' new Mercedes-Benz Stadium.  Of all the potential outcomes, one thing is clear: Its going to be epic!